There's another piece of this puzzle that doesn't get enough
scrutiny.
At the same time as the government is restricting negative
gearing for investors, it's making it easier for first-home buyers to enter the
market through the 5% deposit scheme and the Help to Buy shared equity program,
which allows eligible buyers to purchase with the government contributing up to
30% of the purchase price.
More buyers with access to finance, competing for the same
pool of established homes. That is not a recipe for falling prices. That is a
recipe for prices being supported, or even pushed higher, at the entry-level
end of the market.
Government demand-side incentives for buyers and government
supply-side restrictions for investors are being deployed simultaneously.
These two things work against each other.
I'm not sure the government has fully thought through what
happens when you put your foot on the accelerator and the brake at the same
time.
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Jason Gwerder
Sunday, 9 August 2026
